End West Asia War For Global Peace (Part II) An analysis on the deadlock in peace initiative between Iran, USA and Israel. By: Prof. Neelam Mahajan Singh
(Part II)
An analysis on the deadlock in peace initiative between Iran, USA and Israel
By: Prof. Neelam Mahajan Singh
As already stated that the West Asia War has already created a global economic crisis. Supertankers entered the Gulf despite the blockade. Iran has threatened to blow them with missile attacks.
A second US sanctioned supertanker has entered the Gulf via the 'Strait of Hormuz'. US President Donald Trump announced the blockade after peace talks in Islamabad between the US and Iran failed to reach any viable solution.
The US Central Command said on
X that 10 vessels have been turned around and no ships have broken through since the start of the blockade. Iran's 'Fars News Agency' said that an Iranian supertanker subject to U.S. sanctions crossed the strait towards Iran's Imam Khomeini Port. The empty 'Very Large Crude Carrier' (VLCC) RHN entered the Gulf. The tanker's entry into the Gulf comes a day after US sanctioned 'VLCC - Alicia' passed through the Strait of Hormuz. 'The Alicia' is heading to Iraq, stared the 'Kpler data'. Vessels that have been forced to turn back include the US sanctioned tanker 'Rich Starry', which returned to the Gulf. It is important to understand Iran's point of view. Iran could consider allowing ships to sail freely through the Omani side of the Strait of Hormuz without risk of attack as part of peace proposals it has offered in negotiations with U.S.A, providing if a deal is clinched to prevent any renewed conflict.
The US blockade is expected to reduce Iran's crude exports.
The OPEC producer could sustain its current production at 3.5 million barrels per day (bpd) for weeks. Iran exported 1.84 million bpd of crude in March and has shipped 1.71 million bpd thus far in April, compared with an average of 1.68 million bpd in 2025, according to Kpler data.
Representative of Iran's Supreme Leader in India, Dr Abdul Majid Hakeem Ilahi has called West Asia conflict 'an individual war'. Speaking to media in Jaipur, Dr. Ilahi said Israeli P.M. Benjamin Netanyahu had been pursuing a war against Iran for decades. "The Prime Minister of Israel, wanted to initiate this war for 40 years against Iran. He could not convince any President of the United States in the past (to launch a war against Iran), but this time he convinced President Trump to support him. This is an individual war," he declared. US is optimistic of deal with Iran as it increased the economic pressures. Iran has it's own belligerent attitude. After all they were attacked by Isreal and USA, assassinating the Supreme Spiritual Leader of Iran, Syyed Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and thousands of Iranians. Brad Cooper, chief of US Central Command, said on X that US forces have completely halted economic trade going into and out of Iran by sea, reports Xinhua news agency. The United States expects the ongoing conflict involving Iran to ease within weeks, with the Energy Secretary expressing confidence that the economic impact, particularly on oil markets, will remain contained. Speaking at a Wall Street Journal policy discussion, US Energy Secretary Chris Wright said the situation would not trigger prolonged economic strain despite a temporary spike in fuel prices. “I think the conflict will be resolved in the next few weeks,” Wright said, adding that the US economy entered the crisis. “As we sit here today, we’re a little over $4 price of gas. We had $5 gasoline, four years ago,” he said. Wright maintained that strong domestic investment and manufacturing momentum would cushion any external shocks. “There is a lot of economic momentum in this country that’s pretty much unimpacted by this,” he noted.
The 'Mossad' is Israel's foreign intelligence agency. Iran arrested a few spies. "The arrestees had provided Mossad intelligence officers with images and locations of some sensitive and critical military and security sites via the internet", it said. The White House has stated negotiations with Iran remain 'productive and ongoing,' even as tensions over the Strait of Hormuz continue. White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt said that the United States remained actively engaged in negotiations with Iran, pushing back against reports that Washington had formally sought an extension of the current ceasefire. "At this moment, we remain very much engaged in these negotiations, in these talks,” Leavitt said. President Trump said that the war he launched with Israel; on Iran was 'close to over', even as 10,000 additional US troops move into West Asia. Pakistan's army chief General Asim Munir is trying to prevent a renewal of the conflict. USA previously announced that roughly 50,000 troops had been involved in operations in the war on Iran. The World Health Organization's Director-General Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus said Lebanon's Tebnine Government Hospital, one of the busiest trauma centres, is under severe strain after being damaged in two separate strikes on April 12 and 14, as reported by Al Jazeera. While services remain operational, Tedros said WHO was supporting urgent emergency maintenance based on priority needs. WHO has recorded "133 attacks on health care with 88 deaths and 206 injuries", reported 'Al Jazeera. The United States will not extend a temporary waiver that allowed the sale of Russian oil and Iranian oil already at sea, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said. "We will not be renewing the general license on Russian oil," Bessent said at a press briefing.
Both sides need to build political momentum. US Vice President J.D. Vance, who led the first round of talks, said Iran is being offered a "grand bargain to end the six-week war with Israel and the United States and address the decades-old dispute over Tehran's nuclear program". The Strait of Hormuz, through which one-fifth of the world's crude oil normally flows, has been choked by Iranian forces since the US-Israeli offensive began and is now the focus of the US blockade.The US-Israeli war with Iran has caused the largest disruption to global oil and gas supplies, as Tehran restricted traffic through the strategic waterway, which handles around 20% of the world’s oil and liquefied natural gas flows. Since the conflict began on February 28, hundreds of tankers and other vessels, along with about 20,000 seafarers, have remained stranded in the Gulf. Mohsen Rezaei, a former 'Revolutionary Guards' commander, said Iran would respond forcefully to any US military presence enforcing control over the strait. “Mr Trump wants to become the police of the Strait of Hormuz. Is this really your job?” he said on state television. “These ships of yours will be sunk by our first missiles. We can destroy them,” he added. Rezaei, known for his hardline views, also said he personally opposed extending the ceasefire and claimed that any potential US ground invasion would be met with strong retaliation. The 'TEE-01B Satellite', built and launched by Chinese firm Earth Eye Co, was obtained by the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps’ Aerospace Force after its deployment.
China’s foreign ministry dismissed the claims as false. “Recently, some forces have been keen on fabricating rumours and maliciously associating them to China,” it said in a statement. “China firmly opposes this kind of practice driven by ulterior motives.” The Republican-led Senate of USA rejected the latest Democratic attempt to halt President Donald Trump’s war in Iran, turning aside a resolution that would require the US to withdraw forces from the conflict until Congress authorizes further action. The 47-52 vote was the fourth time this year that the Senate has voted to cede its war powers to the president in a conflict that Democrats say is illegal and unjustified. Republicans say they will keep faith in Trump’s wartime leadership, for now, citing Iran’s nuclear capabilities, the potential for ongoing talks and the high stakes of withdrawal. Under the War Powers Act of 1973, Congress must declare war or authorize use of force within 60 days of its start, a deadline that will arrive at the end of this month. The law provides for a potential 30-day extension of that deadline, but lawmakers have made clear that they want the administration to soon lay out a plan for the end of the conflict. In retrospect, it may be stated that global geopolitical conflicts will never end. In modern days we shouldn't go to Wars of Roses and create a situation of World War. The silence of Arab nations' fear from America is dismally annoying.
PM Narendra Modi had a 45 minutes conversation with President Donald Trump. It is hoped that political leadership of all nations, especially USA, Isreal and Iran will resolve their political and geopolitical greed and give peace a chance. It's high time that one country stops to usurp the wealth and natural resources of another country. Let peace and universal brotherhood be given a chance. (End)
Prof. Neelam Mahajan Singh
(Sr. Journalist, Author, International Strategic Affairs analyst, Doordarshan News Personality, Solicitor for Human Rights Protection and Philanthropist)
singhnofficial@gmail.com
Comments
Post a Comment